Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 60.22% ( | 21.4% ( | 18.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( | 43.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( | 65.54% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( | 13.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.67% ( | 41.33% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( | 37.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( | 73.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.61% ( 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 60.22% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 1-2 @ 5% ( 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.38% |