Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
2 - 0
Austin

Leibold (26', 26'), Afrifa (69', 69')
Davis (34'), Davis (34'), Pulido (45+3'), Pulido (45+3'), Russell (90+2'), Russell (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wolff (29'), Wolff (29'), Rubio (34'), Rubio (34'), Valencia (64'), Valencia (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Kansas
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Austin FC
54.39% ( -0.13)	21.8% ( 0.19)	23.81% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 61.24% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33% (

-1)

37.66% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.1% (

-1.08)

59.9% (

1.07)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1% (

-0.38)

13.89% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.68% (

-0.75)

41.31% (

0.74)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.61)

28.88% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

-0.75)

64.75% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 54.39%

Austin FC 23.81%

Draw 21.8%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.56% Total : 54.39%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.8%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 23.81%