Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 55.67% ( | 22.83% ( | 21.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( | 45.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( | 67.45% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% | 16.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.6% ( | 45.4% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( | 35.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 3-0 @ 5.74% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.66% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.9% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2% Total : 21.5% |