Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.