Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
4
3
HT : 2 4
FT Soldier Field
Philadelphia
  • Wyatt Omsberg 4' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 4' yellowcard
  • Frank Klopas 5' redcard
  • Frank Klopas 5' redcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 30' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 30' goal
  • Chris Brady 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Chris Brady 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Hugo Cuypers 82' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 82' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 89' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 89' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+2' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 32'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 32'
  • goal Chris Donovan 38'
  • goal Chris Donovan 38'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 49'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 49'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 45'+7'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 54'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 54'

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 3.30am
Seattle 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
Montreal 4 - 2 Philadelphia
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result

Chicago Fire 53.71% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 22.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Philadelphia Union 23.91% ▼ (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.26% ▼ (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.67% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 40.33% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 37.3% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 62.71% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 20.01% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 79.99% ▲ (+0.20)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 84.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 56.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 43.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 30.26% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 33.57% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 66.44% ▲ (+0.37)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 53.71%
Draw 22.38%
Philadelphia Union 23.91%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 53.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.38%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 23.91%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Subaru Park
Chicago Fire
  • Mikael Uhre 55' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 55' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 87' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 90'+3' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 90'+3' goal
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 39'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 39'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 45'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 45'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 69'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 69'
  • goal Fabian Herbers 82'
  • goal Fabian Herbers 82'
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Toyota Park
Philadelphia
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 19' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 47' goal
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 62'
  • goal Julian Carranza 64'
  • goal Julian Carranza 65'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
Chicago Fire
  • Joaquin Torres 90' goal
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Chicago Fire
  • Daniel Gazdag 16' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 28' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 37' goal
  • Julian Carranza 53' goal
  • Cory Burke 82' goal
  • Cory Burke 85' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 86' yellowcard
  • Olivier Mbaizo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 3'
  • goal Chris Mueller 49'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri 70'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 82'
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Jun 30, 2022 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Philadelphia
  • Carlos Teran 51' yellowcard
  • Federico Navarro 68' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 29'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 35'
  • redcard Jose Andres Martinez 72'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 77'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
Philadelphia
Aug 1, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Chicago Fire
  • Jakob Glesnes 30' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 36' goal
  • Jack Elliott 66' yellowcard
  • goal Przemyslaw Frankowski 10'
  • redcard Wyatt Omsberg 34'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 41'
  • yellowcard Robert Beric 78'

Form Data

Seattle 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
Orlando City 4 - 2 Chicago Fire
Toronto 1 - 4 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 LA Galaxy
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Orlando City
DC United 1 - 1 Chicago Fire
Montreal 4 - 2 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Cincinnati 4 - 3 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 2 Inter Miami
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Montreal
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Toronto