Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
4
2
HT : 2 4
FT Stade Saputo
Philadelphia
  • Josef Martinez 36' goal
  • Josef Martinez 36' goal
  • Bryce Duke 56' goal
  • Bryce Duke 56' goal
  • Dominik Yankov 89' goal
  • Dominik Yankov 89' goal
  • Ruan 90'+2' goal
  • Ruan 90'+2' goal
  • Ruan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ruan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 29'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 29'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 41'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 41'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+5'

CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 23, 2024 2.30am
Colorado 4 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Josef Martinez

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result

CF Montreal 38.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 24.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Philadelphia Union 36.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 32.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 67.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.72% ▼ (-0.01)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 76.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 38.75%
Draw 24.93%
Philadelphia Union 36.32%
CF Montreal
2-1 @ 8.53%
1-0 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 36.32%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Subaru Park
Montreal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 56' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 56' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 58' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 58' goal
  • Jack Elliott 63' redcard
  • Jack Elliott 63' redcard
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 1'
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 1'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 28'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 28'
  • yellowcard Dominik Yankov 41'
  • yellowcard Dominik Yankov 41'
  • redcard Ariel Lassiter 45'
  • redcard Ariel Lassiter 45'
  • goal Samuel Piette 66'
  • goal Samuel Piette 66'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
Montreal
  • Julian Carranza 12' goal
  • Julian Carranza 12' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 36' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 36' goal
  • Julian Carranza 61' goal
  • Julian Carranza 61' goal
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saputo
Philadelphia
  • Romell Quioto 3' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 90' goal
  • Romell Quioto 90'+8' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 46'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 60'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Apr 23, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Montreal
  • Julian Carranza 21' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 55' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 82' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kei Kamara 59'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 61'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 90'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Montreal
Mar 5, 2022 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Philadelphia
  • Ismael Kone 20' yellowcard
  • Victor Wanyama 23' yellowcard
  • Lassi Lappalainen 32' goal
  • Rida Zouhir 67' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 53'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 56'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 64'
  • redcard Julian Carranza 71'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 38
Montreal
Oct 16, 2021 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Philadelphia
  • Matko Miljevic 33' goal
  • Djordje Mihailovic 44' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 75' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sunusi 90'+5' goal
  • goal James Pantemis 63' (OG)
  • goal Kai Wagner 77'

Form Data

Colorado 4 - 1 Montreal
Montreal 2 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Montreal 0 - 0 Salt Lake
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Montreal
Montreal 4 - 2 DC United
Montreal 0 - 0 Nashville
Philadelphia 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Cincinnati 4 - 3 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 2 Inter Miami
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Montreal
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Toronto
Charlotte FC 0 - 0 Philadelphia