Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for DC United had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
| 60.98% | 21.97% ( | 17.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( | 47.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% | 69.96% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% | 15.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.18% | 43.82% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.56% ( | 41.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.05% ( | 77.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 6.19% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.25% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 60.97% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.97% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.05% |