Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%).

Result
Toluca	Draw	Houston Dynamo
56.69% ( -1.43)	21.27% ( 0.66)	22.03% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 60.71% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.71% (

-2.15)

37.29% (

2.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.5% (

-2.36)

59.5% (

2.36)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.93% (

-1.1)

13.07% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.34% (

-2.29)

39.66% (

2.29)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.84% (

-0.55)

30.16% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.69% (

-0.66)

66.31% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Toluca 56.69%

Houston Dynamo 22.03%

Draw 21.27%

Toluca	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.84% Total : 56.69%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.94% Total : 22.03%