Houston Dynamo
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 6, 2024 at 2am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Houston
3 - 0
Salt Lake

Herrera (7', 7'), Micael (24', 24'), Glad (42' og., 42' og.)
Ponce (62'), Ponce (62')
FT(HT: 6-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Leagues Cup clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Atlas
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Atlas
Friday, August 2 at 2am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 59.06%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
59.06% (0.738 0.74)20.07% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)20.87% (-0.724 -0.72)
Both teams to score 63.4% (-1.12 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.98% (-0.95400000000001 -0.95)33.02% (0.953 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.25% (-1.106 -1.11)54.75% (1.104 1.1)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (-0.102 -0.1)11.05% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.61% (-0.22399999999999 -0.22)35.39% (0.222 0.22)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-1.177 -1.18)28.73% (1.176 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (-1.492 -1.49)64.56% (1.493 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 59.06%
    Real Salt Lake 20.87%
    Draw 20.07%
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.321 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.32 0.32)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 4.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.11% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 59.06%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20.07%
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 20.87%

How you voted: Houston vs Salt Lake

Houston Dynamo
70.0%
Draw
6.7%
Real Salt Lake
23.3%
30
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-2
Houston
Gomez (22'), Luna (42'), Ojeda (67')
Ojeda (77'), Eneli (90+2')
Ibrahim (8'), Brody (55' og.)
Blessing (5'), Escobar (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 11pm
Houston
1-1
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 1-1 | Houston win 4-3 on penalties)
Baird (28')
Baird (20')
Luna (65')
Savarino (46'), Arango (66'), Vera (72')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2023 2am
Salt Lake
1-1
Houston
(Aggregate 1-1 | Salt Lake win 5-4 on penalties)
Savarino (70')
Glad (27'), Ojeda (33'), Vera (52')
Bassi (28')
Clark (16'), Bassi (17'), Dorsey (48'), Carrasquilla (69'), Sviatchenko (71')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 10pm
Houston
2-1
Salt Lake
Herrera (22'), Bassi (79')
Escobar (90+5'), Carrasquilla (90+7')
Luna (54')
Oviedo (44'), Julio (82')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
0-3
Houston

Chang (50'), Julio (63')
Baird (9'), Steres (29'), Carrasquilla (75')
> Preview