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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Houston


(90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Steres (87')
Bassi (15'), Herrera (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, July 14 at 2.27am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Houston may have found wins hard to come by in recent away games, but we still think that they will prove too strong for a San Jose side who will be low on confidence after losing seven of their last eight matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
45.39% (0.0010000000000048 0) 23.9%30.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 59.85% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84%42.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57%61.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 45.39%
    Houston Dynamo 30.71%
    Draw 23.89%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.71%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Houston

San Jose Earthquakes
32.4%
Draw
10.8%
Houston Dynamo
56.8%
37
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Houston
2-1
Earthquakes
Ferreira (81'), Escobar (85')
Carrasquilla (45+2'), Ferreira (87')
Wilson (1')
Marie (9'), Akapo (76'), Yueill (86'), Gruezo (90+5')
Judd (34'), Yueill (90+5')
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
Houston
4-1
Earthquakes
Bassi (3'), Baird (5'), Ulfarsson (78', 90')
Sviatchenko (37'), Herrera (86')
Akapo (41')
Ebobisse (38'), Bouda (50'), Judson (67'), Yueill (81'), Skahan (85')
Jul 18, 2022 2.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Falcons
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami28195465412462
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati28164848361252
3Columbus Crew27148552282450
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls29101364537843
5Orlando City28117104541440
6New York City FCNY City28117104137440
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC28108103231138
8Toronto29113153851-1336
9DC United2989124457-1333
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2887133640-431
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2879124846230
12CF MontrealMontreal2879123759-2230
13Chicago Fire2978143651-1529
14Nashville SCNashville2878132844-1629
15New England RevolutionNew England2783163054-2427

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy29167657401755
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles27146750361448
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake28138754401447
4Colorado RapidsColorado2814595546947
5Seattle SoundersSeattle29137943321146
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver27136846351145
7Houston DynamoHouston2812884132944
8Portland TimbersPortland28117105648840
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd28116114746139
10Dallas2897124445-134
11Austin FCAustin2897123140-934
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2977154555-1028
13St Louis City29513114156-1528
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2852213465-3117


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