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Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Houston


(90+6'), (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Steres (87', 87')
Bassi (15'), Bassi (15'), Herrera (90+5'), Herrera (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, July 14 at 2.27am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
45.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.9%30.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 59.85% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84%42.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57%61.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 45.39%
    Houston Dynamo 30.71%
    Draw 23.89%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.71%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Houston

San Jose Earthquakes
32.4%
Draw
10.8%
Houston Dynamo
56.8%
37
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Houston
2-1
Earthquakes
Ferreira (81'), Escobar (85')
Carrasquilla (45+2'), Ferreira (87')
Wilson (1')
Marie (9'), Akapo (76'), Yueill (86'), Gruezo (90+5')
Judd (34'), Yueill (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
Houston
4-1
Earthquakes
Bassi (3'), Baird (5'), Ulfarsson (78', 90')
Sviatchenko (37'), Herrera (86')
Akapo (41')
Ebobisse (38'), Bouda (50'), Judson (67'), Yueill (81'), Skahan (85')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-1
Houston
> Preview
Jul 18, 2022 2.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
Houston
Monteiro (45')
Parker (28'), Vera (43'), Picault (90')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
4-3
Earthquakes
> Preview