Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 47.06% ( | 22.96% ( | 29.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% ( | 38.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.67% ( | 60.33% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( | 16.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.69% ( | 46.31% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( | 24.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( | 59.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 4.41% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.98% |