Major League Soccer

Jun 23, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
6 - 2
Earthquakes

Bogusz (15', 15', 48', 48'), Bouanga (26', 26'), Kamara (33', 33'), Hollingshead (42', 42'), Angel (87', 87')

FT(HT: 8-2)

Rodrigues (45+3', 45+3'), Kikanovic (57', 57')
Costa (46'), Costa (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Portland
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
73.24% ( 0.98)	15.41% ( -0.41)	11.36% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.28% (

0.45)

29.72% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.15% (

0.54)

50.85% (

-0.54)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.01% (

0.29)

6.99% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.4% (

0.78)

25.6% (

-0.78)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15% (

-0.6)

37.85% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.37% (

-0.59)

74.63% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 73.24%

San Jose Earthquakes 11.36%

Draw 15.41%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.19% Total : 73.24%	1-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.41%	1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.7% Total : 11.36%