Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2024 at 2.27am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Ferreira (82', 82')
Dorsey (36'), Dorsey (36'), Bassi (87'), Bassi (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lod (70', 70')
Padelford (90+4'), Padelford (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Houston
Thursday, July 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Minnesota United
65.33% ( 0.19)	19.23% ( -0.07)	15.43% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.26% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.44% (

0.1)

38.56% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.14% (

0.11)

60.86% (

-0.11)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.94% (

0.08)

11.06% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.59% (

0.18)

35.41% (

-0.18)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13% (

-0.08)

37.87% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.35% (

-0.08)

74.65% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 65.33%

Minnesota United 15.43%

Draw 19.23%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Minnesota United
2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.32% Total : 65.33%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.23%	1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.43%