Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.