Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 46.49% ( | 23.6% ( | 29.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( | 41.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.42% ( | 63.58% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( | 17.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.19% ( | 48.81% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( | 26.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( | 61.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.72% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.9% |