Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 3.30am
4
3
HT : 2 4
FT BC Place Stadium
  • Javain Brown 12' yellowcard
  • Javain Brown 12' yellowcard
  • Brian White 37' goal
  • Brian White 37' goal
  • Brian White 54' goal
  • Brian White 54' goal
  • Brian White 61' goal
  • Brian White 61' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 90' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 90' goal
  • goal Njabulo Blom 7'
  • goal Njabulo Blom 7'
  • goal Eduard Lowen 12'
  • goal Eduard Lowen 12'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 26'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 26'
  • yellowcard Jake Nerwinski 49'
  • yellowcard Jake Nerwinski 49'
  • goal Nokkvi Thorisson 90'+3'
  • goal Nokkvi Thorisson 90'+3'

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Portland 2 - 0 Vancouver
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Brian White

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City 1 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Eduard Lowen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result

Vancouver Whitecaps 64.84% (+0.07)
Draw 19.7% (-0.01)
St Louis City 15.46% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.62% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.27% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 40.73% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 36.89% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 63.11% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.7% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.3% (+0.06)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5 88.18% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.82% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 62.94% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 37.06% (+0.01)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 60.81% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 39.19% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 24.1% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 75.9% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 64.84%
Draw 19.7%
St Louis City 15.46%
Vancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 10.56% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.89% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.52% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.01% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 64.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.27%
0-0 @ 4.63% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.7%
St Louis City
0-1 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.46%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 3.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT BC Place Stadium
  • Ryan Gauld 38' goal
  • Brian White 58' goal
  • Brian White 58' goal
  • Ryan Gauld 79' yellowcard
  • Ryan Gauld 79' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Berhalter 82' goal
  • Sebastian Berhalter 82' goal
  • Richie Laryea 90'+6' goal
  • Richie Laryea 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Eduard Lowen 42'
  • yellowcard Eduard Lowen 42'
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 1.30am
3
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Eduard Lowen 10' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 10' goal
  • Tristan Blackmon 45' goal
  • Tristan Blackmon 45' goal
  • Miguel Perez 90'+4' goal
  • Miguel Perez 90'+4' goal
  • goal Brian White 83'
  • goal Brian White 83'