Major League Soccer

Jul 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Lopez (49', 49')
Lopez (62'), Lopez (62'), Skahan (87'), Skahan (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Czichos (24'), Czichos (24'), Acosta (37'), Acosta (37'), Herbers (90+5'), Herbers (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 Earthquakes
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Chicago Fire
49.27% ( -0.4)	22.92% ( -0.09)	27.81% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 61.35% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.68% (

0.81)

39.31% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.34% (

0.84)

61.65% (

-0.84)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

0.16)

16.2% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31% (

0.29)

45.69% (

-0.29)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21% (

0.76)

26.79% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

0.99)

62.07% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 49.27%

Chicago Fire 27.81%

Draw 22.91%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 49.27%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.81%