Major League Soccer

Jul 20, 2020 at 1am UK

ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17

Chicago Fire
0 - 2
Earthquakes

Sekulic (29'), Medran (53'), Gimenez (58'), Herbers (61'), Pineda (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Espinoza (56'), Wondolowski (83')
Jungwirth (37'), Judson (50'), Eriksson (86')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and San Jose Earthquakes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
48.84%	23.32%	27.84%

Both teams to score 59.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82%

41.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.42%

63.57%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94%

17.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77%

47.23%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28%

27.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71%

63.29%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 48.84%

San Jose Earthquakes 27.84%

Draw 23.32%

Chicago Fire	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.07% Total : 48.84%	1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 6.88% 0-1 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.84%