Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 55.3%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 55.3% | 21.58% | 23.12% |
| Both teams to score 61.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.57% | 37.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.35% | 59.66% |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% | 13.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.4% | 40.6% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% | 29.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% | 65.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 6.49% 3-0 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.98% 4-1 @ 3.25% 4-0 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.69% Total : 55.3% | 1-1 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-1 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.18% Total : 23.12% |