Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 3.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
3 - 4
Houston

Picault (48', 48', 66', 66'), Veselinovic (54', 54')
Cubas (45+3'), Cubas (45+3'), Veselinovic (80'), Veselinovic (80')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Carrasquilla (29', 29'), Dorsey (36', 36', 87', 87'), Smith (78', 78')
Artur (20'), Artur (20'), Escobar (76'), Escobar (76'), Smith (90+3'), Smith (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Kansas
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Houston
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Houston Dynamo
53.08% ( -2.34)	23.12% ( 0.63)	23.81% ( 1.72)

Both teams to score 56.61% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.23% (

-0.89)

43.77% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.85% (

-0.88)

66.15% (

0.88)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.53% (

-1.12)

16.47% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.82% (

-2.06)

46.18% (

2.06)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

1.03)

32.22% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

1.15)

68.71% (

-1.15)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 53.08%

Houston Dynamo 23.81%

Draw 23.11%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.08%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.81%