Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
1 - 4
Vancouver

Thorisson (27', 27')
Blom (19'), Blom (19'), Reid (53'), Reid (53'), Durkin (71'), Durkin (71')

FT(HT: 2-4)

White (10', 10', 44', 44'), Raposo (64', 64'), Picault (90+2', 90+2')
Berhalter (45+7'), Berhalter (45+7'), Cubas (88'), Cubas (88'), Johnson (90+6'), Johnson (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 4-1 St Louis City
Monday, July 8 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
36.15% ( -1.56)	24.46% ( 0.07)	39.39% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 59.64% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8% (

-0.45)

43.2% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

-0.44)

65.6% (

0.44)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4% (

-1.02)

23.6% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.32% (

-1.5)

57.68% (

1.5)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

0.55)

21.93% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.79% (

0.82)

55.21% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 36.15%

Vancouver Whitecaps 39.39%

Draw 24.46%

St Louis City	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.13% Total : 36.15%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.39%