Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Atlas win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Atlas
57.2% ( -0.06)	21.48% ( -0.02)	21.31% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 58.88% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.78% (

0.24)

39.22% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.45% (

0.25)

61.55% (

-0.24)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

0.06)

13.54% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.37% (

0.12)

40.62% (

-0.12)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

0.21)

31.9% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

0.24)

68.34% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 57.2%

Atlas 21.31%

Draw 21.48%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Atlas
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.48% Total : 57.2%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.48%	1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 21.31%