Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
66.53% ( -0.85)	17.41% ( 0.25)	16.06% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 64.06% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.87% (

0.05)

28.13% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.1% (

0.06)

48.9% (

-0.05)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.07% (

-0.16)

7.93% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.97% (

-0.41)

28.03% (

0.42)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

0.72)

30.42% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

0.85)

66.62% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Toluca 66.53%

Sporting Kansas City 16.06%

Draw 17.41%

Toluca	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.14% Total : 66.53%	1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.41%	1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.26% Total : 16.06%