Major League Soccer

Jul 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
3 - 2
Dallas

Agade (11', 11', 23', 23'), Rodriguez (82', 82')
Castellanos (15'), Castellanos (15'), Bassong (85'), Bassong (85')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Melia (30', 30' og.), Musa (65', 65')
Arriola (90+6'), Arriola (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Kansas
Friday, July 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 3-2 Portland
Friday, July 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Dallas
58.66% ( 0.73)	21.35% ( -0.08)	19.99% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 57.21% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.56% (

-0.58)

40.44% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.18% (

-0.6)

62.82% (

0.6)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

0.04)

13.5% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.46% (

0.07)

40.54% (

-0.07)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-0.98)

33.86% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47% (

-1.07)

70.53% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 58.66%

Dallas 19.99%

Draw 21.35%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 58.66%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.99%