Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.