Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.