Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 3.45am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
3 - 2
Portland

Pec (38', 38'), Puig (48', 48'), Paintsil (58', 58')
Nelson (90'), Berry (90+6'), Nelson (90'), Berry (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez (52', 52'), Moreno (73', 73')
Evander (14'), Evander (14'), Chara (42'), Chara (42'), Zuparic (62'), Zuparic (62'), Miller (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+9'), Miller (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-2 Colorado
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 3-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, July 14 at 3.25am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Portland Timbers
51.72% ( -1.53)	21.03% ( 0.04)	27.25% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 67.91% (

1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.48% (

1.15)

30.52% (

-1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.18% (

1.36)

51.82% (

-1.37)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.74% (

-0.05)

12.26% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62% (

-0.11)

38% (

0.11)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4% (

1.59)

22.59% (

-1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.8% (

2.31)

56.2% (

-2.31)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 51.72%

Portland Timbers 27.25%

Draw 21.03%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.43) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 51.72%	1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.03%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.25%