Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.85%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Atletico San Luis
56.79% ( 0.75)	20.98% ( -0.18)	22.23% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 62.1% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.39% (

0.14)

35.6% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.34% (

0.16)

57.66% (

-0.16)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

0.26)

12.49% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.53% (

0.54)

38.47% (

-0.54)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

-0.4)

29.03% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

-0.49)

64.94% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Toluca 56.79%

Atletico San Luis 22.23%

Draw 20.98%

Toluca	Draw	Atletico San Luis
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.24% Total : 56.79%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.98%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 22.23%