Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.