Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.