Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 20, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

Atletico San Luis
1 - 1
Tijuana

Boli (11', 11')
Dominguez (75'), Dominguez (75')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Castaneda (27' pen., 27' pen.)
Balanta (41'), Balanta (41'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (90+1'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Club Tijuana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawClub Tijuana
39.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)24.3% (0.358 0.36)35.98% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-1.371 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (-1.762 -1.76)42.43% (1.764 1.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-1.782 -1.78)64.84% (1.784 1.78)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.782 -0.78)21.44% (0.784 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-1.221 -1.22)54.45% (1.221 1.22)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-0.97 -0.97)23.34% (0.972 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (-1.433 -1.43)57.3% (1.434 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 39.72%
    Club Tijuana 35.98%
    Draw 24.3%
Atletico San LuisDrawClub Tijuana
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.418 0.42)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.72%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5% (0.384 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.361 0.36)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 35.98%

How you voted: Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana

Atletico San Luis
51.9%
Draw
33.3%
Club Tijuana
14.8%
27
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 7
Atletico San Luis
3-3
Tijuana
Bonatini (41'), Klimowicz (73'), Guemez (79')
Salles-Lamonge (46')
Rodriguez (38', 88'), Alvarez (45+1')
Diaz (12'), Blanco (69'), Balanta (90+5')
Oct 9, 2023 4am
Gameweek 12
Tijuana
2-1
Atletico San Luis
Martinez (19'), Gonzalez (74')
Barbosa (44'), Madrigal (45+2')
Bonatini (67')
Chavez (26'), Klimowicz (76'), Manuel Sanabria (83'), David Castro (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 6
Tijuana
1-0
Atletico San Luis
Garcia (90+3' og.)
Sep 2, 2022 1am
Gameweek 12
Atletico San Luis
0-0
Tijuana
Apr 7, 2022 3.06am
Gameweek 9
Tijuana
1-1
Atletico San Luis
Lopez (16'), Lorona (49')
Guemez (10'), Berterame (55'), Leon (71')