Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
2 - 0
Atletico San Luis

Sanchez (33', 33'), Bautista (52', 52')
Moreno (59'), Moreno (59'), Gonzalez (90+4'), Gonzalez (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Atletico San Luis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawAtletico San Luis
53.37% (1.061 1.06)22.44% (0.249 0.25)24.2% (-1.303 -1.3)
Both teams to score 59.42% (-2.373 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.74% (-2.481 -2.48)40.26% (2.486 2.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.36% (-2.606 -2.61)62.64% (2.61 2.61)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)15.13% (0.523 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.31% (-0.993 -0.99)43.69% (0.997 1)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-2.35 -2.35)29.99% (2.356 2.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-2.929 -2.93)66.1% (2.932 2.93)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 53.37%
    Atletico San Luis 24.2%
    Draw 22.43%
PachucaDrawAtletico San Luis
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.139 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.804 0.8)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.623 0.62)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.304 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.267 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.161 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.325 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.5 0.5)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 24.2%

How you voted: Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis

Pachuca
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atletico San Luis
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2024 1am
Gameweek 12
Atletico San Luis
2-1
Pachuca
Boli (22'), Galdames (71')
Sanchez (26'), Vitinho (45+2'), Galdames (72'), Salles-Lamonge (90+1'), Cruz (90+6'), Guemez (90+4')
Deossa (74')
Deossa (90+4')
Aug 29, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 6
Pachuca
0-2
Atletico San Luis

Sanchez (33'), Almada (42'), Terans (47'), Barreto (90')
Villalpando (51'), Bilbao (90+1' pen.)
Guemez (46'), Chavez (60')
Apr 23, 2023 12am
Sep 19, 2022 3am
May 15, 2022 2.05am