Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Club Tijuana
55.44% ( 0.15)	23.17% ( 0.16)	21.39% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31% (

-1.06)

46.68% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05% (

-1)

68.95% (

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

-0.33)

16.69% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.43% (

-0.59)

46.56% (

0.59)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.95% (

-0.9)

36.05% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.17% (

-0.93)

72.83% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 55.44%

Club Tijuana 21.39%

Draw 23.16%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Club Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.44%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.16%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 21.39%