Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.