Major League Soccer

Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
2 - 2
Montreal

Carmona (18', 18'), Choiniere (75' og., 75' og.)
Nealis (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Martinez (67', 67', 81', 81' pen.)
Piette (43'), Piette (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 14 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 11.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	CF Montreal
70.68% ( 1.86)	17.72% ( -0.82)	11.59% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 49.41% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

1.11)

40.65% (

-1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.96% (

1.13)

63.03% (

-1.13)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.72% (

0.78)

10.28% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.34% (

1.74)

33.66% (

-1.75)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.07% (

-1)

44.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.12% (

-0.82)

80.87% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 70.68%

CF Montreal 11.6%

Draw 17.72%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	CF Montreal
2-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.25) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.3% Total : 70.68%	1-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.72%	0-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.04% Total : 11.6%