Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Citi Field

NY City
2 - 0
Montreal

Martinez (9', 9', 56', 56')
Sands (90+3'), Sands (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (52'), Campbell (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 4-2 Orlando City
Saturday, June 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 4-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	CF Montreal
61.49% ( 0.51)	20.11% ( -0.23)	18.4% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 58.71% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.87% (

0.6)

37.12% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.68% (

0.64)

59.32% (

-0.64)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.34% (

0.32)

11.65% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.29% (

0.68)

36.71% (

-0.69)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

0.06)

33.54% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

0.07)

70.18% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 61.49%

CF Montreal 18.4%

Draw 20.11%

New York City FC	Draw	CF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.32% Total : 61.49%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.11%	1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.4%