Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.