Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Club Tijuana
44.64% ( 1.26)	22.38% ( 0)	32.98% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 66.63% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.27% (

-0.46)

33.73% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.44% (

-0.53)

55.56% (

0.53)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.23% (

0.29)

15.77% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.11% (

0.53)

44.9% (

-0.53)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.1% (

-0.87)

20.9% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.38% (

-1.37)

53.62% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 44.64%

Club Tijuana 32.98%

Draw 22.38%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Club Tijuana
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 44.64%	1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.38%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.8% Total : 32.98%