Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.