Leagues Cup
Aug 4, 2024 3.00am
3
1
HT : 0 2
FT BC Place Stadium
  • Fabrice Picault 49' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 49' goal
  • Levonte Johnson 78' goal
  • Levonte Johnson 78' goal
  • Pedro Vite 83' goal
  • Pedro Vite 83' goal
  • goal Kevin Castaneda 8'
  • goal Kevin Castaneda 8'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castaneda 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castaneda 25'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Gomez 75'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Gomez 75'
  • redcard Aaron Mejia 81'
  • redcard Aaron Mejia 81'

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Club Tijuana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Jul 31, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles 2 - 2 Vancouver

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Jul 27, 2024 4.00am
Los Angeles 3 - 0 Tijuana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result

Vancouver Whitecaps 44.64% (+1.27)
Draw 22.38% (+0.01)
Club Tijuana 32.98% (-1.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.63% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.27% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 33.73% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 44.44% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 55.56% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 25.82% (-0.46)
Under 4.5 74.19% (+0.46)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5 84.23% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 15.77% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 55.11% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 44.9% (-0.54)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5 79.1% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 20.9% (+0.87)
Over 1.5 46.38% (-1.38)
Under 1.5 53.62% (+1.38)

Score analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 44.64%
Draw 22.38%
Club Tijuana 32.98%
Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 8.8% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 6.09% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 5.62% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 5.42% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.5% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.96% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.6% (+0.10)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 44.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.3% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.38%
Club Tijuana
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.15)
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 32.98%