Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	Necaxa
33.91% ( 0.25)	25.29% ( 0.33)	40.79% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

-1.43)

47.37% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41% (

-1.34)

69.59% (

1.35)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

-0.54)

26.84% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86% (

-0.71)

62.14% (

0.71)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93% (

-0.91)

23.07% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1% (

-1.35)

56.9% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 33.92%

Necaxa 40.79%

Draw 25.29%

Santos Laguna	Draw	Necaxa
1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.79%