Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 56.81%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 21.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Necaxa |
| 56.81% | 21.57% | 21.61% |
| Both teams to score 59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% | 39.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% | 61.59% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.32% | 13.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.11% | 40.89% |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% | 31.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% | 68.06% |
| Score Analysis |
Minnesota United 56.81%
Necaxa 21.61%
Draw 21.57%
| Minnesota United | Draw | Necaxa |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 6.54% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 3.25% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.44% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-1 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.61% Total : 21.61% |
How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Necaxa
Minnesota United
68.2%Draw
13.6%Necaxa
18.2%22


