Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
2 - 0
Earthquakes

Beason (38' og., 38' og.), Hlongwane (75', 75')
Bran (25'), Bran (25'), Rosales (59'), Rosales (59'), Lod (68'), Lod (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gruezo (45'), Gruezo (45'), Judd (79'), Judd (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-3 DC United
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Houston
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
56.59% ( -0.01)	20.92% ( -0)	22.49% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.69% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65% (

0.01)

34.99% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.01% (

56.98% (

-0)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.65% (

-0)

12.35% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.82%

38.18% (

-0)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

0.01)

28.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

0.01)

64.24% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 56.59%

San Jose Earthquakes 22.49%

Draw 20.92%

Minnesota United	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.52% 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-3 @ 0.93% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.59%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.92%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 22.49%