Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.