Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
2 - 3
Cincinnati

Rodriguez (24', 24'), Pirani (69', 69')
Santos (14'), Santos (14'), McVey (80'), McVey (80')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Kelsy (10', 10'), Bucha (39', 39', 63', 63')
Kelsy (50'), Kelsy (50'), Kubo (82'), Kubo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 DC United
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	FC Cincinnati
33.93% ( 0.25)	23.56% ( 0.02)	42.51% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 62.51% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.74% (

0.01)

39.25% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.41% (

0.01)

61.58% (

-0)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

0.14)

22.98% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.22% (

0.21)

56.78% (

-0.21)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.17% (

-0.11)

18.83% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.73% (

-0.18)

50.26% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

DC United 33.93%

FC Cincinnati 42.51%

Draw 23.55%

DC United	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.93%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 42.51%