Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Audi Field
  • Pedro Santos 14' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 14' yellowcard
  • Martin Rodriguez 24' goal
  • Martin Rodriguez 24' goal
  • Gabriel Pirani 69' goal
  • Gabriel Pirani 69' goal
  • Christopher McVey 80' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 80' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 10'
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 10'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 39'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 50'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 50'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 63'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 63'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 82'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 82'

DC United vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 2 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Christian Benteke

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 1.30am
Dallas 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

DC United 33.93% (+0.26)
Draw 23.56% (+0.02)
FC Cincinnati 42.51% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.51% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.74% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 39.25% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 38.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 61.58% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 20.88% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.12% (-0.01)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 77.01% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 22.98% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 43.22% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 56.78% (-0.21)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 81.17% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 18.83% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 49.73% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 50.26% (+0.19)

Score analysis

DC United 33.93%
Draw 23.55%
FC Cincinnati 42.51%
DC United
2-1 @ 7.81% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.36% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.68% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.83% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.55%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 42.51%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Luciano Acosta 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Herrera 43'
  • yellowcard Jared Stroud 51'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 56'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 71'
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Audi Field
  • Pedro Santos 10' goal
  • Pedro Santos 10' goal
  • Derrick Williams 17' goal
  • Derrick Williams 17' goal
  • Cristian Dajome 43' goal
  • Cristian Dajome 43' goal
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 59' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 73' goal
  • goal Taxiarchis Fountas 90'
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 4
FT
  • Ravel Morrison 26' goal
  • Kristian Fletcher 46' goal
  • goal Luciano Acosta 6'
  • goal Brenner 8'
  • goal Brenner 24'
  • goal Brenner 37'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 53'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Mar 5, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tyler Blackett 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Moses Nyeman 80'
  • yellowcard Brad Smith 90'+1'
  • goal Ola Kamara 90'+8'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Paul Arriola 7' goal
  • Steven Birnbaum 21' goal
  • Bill Hamid 34' yellowcard
  • Paul Arriola 41' goal
  • Nigel Robertha 72' goal
  • Nigel Robertha 74' goal
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 81'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 84'