Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.