Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT BMO Field
Orlando City
  • Derrick Etienne 5' goal
  • Derrick Etienne 5' goal
  • Raoul Petretta 63' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 63' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 75' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 75' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Ojeda 27'
  • goal Martin Ojeda 27'
  • goal Nickseon Gomis 45' (OG)
  • goal Nickseon Gomis 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Enrique 88'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Enrique 88'

Toronto vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 29, 2024 12.30am
NY City 4 - 2 Orlando City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 42.72% ▲ (+0.93)
Draw 24.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Orlando City 32.89% ▼ (-0.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.13% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.47% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 43.53% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 34.08% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 65.92% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 17.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 82.42% ▲ (+0.12)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 79.49% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 20.51% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 47% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 1.5 53% ▼ (-0.57)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 74.39% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 0.5 25.61% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 1.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 1.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.84)

Score analysis

Toronto 42.72%
Draw 24.38%
Orlando City 32.89%
Toronto
2-1 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 42.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.38%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.14)
0-1 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 32.89%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
Toronto
  • Duncan McGuire 36' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 37' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 55' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 67' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 81' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 11'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 11'
  • yellowcard Prince Osei Owusu 50'
  • yellowcard Prince Osei Owusu 50'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 57'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 57'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 87'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 87'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Oct 21, 2023 11.20pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Orlando City
  • 52' goal
  • goal Duncan McGuire 63'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 74'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Exploria Stadium
Toronto
  • Cesar Araujo 16' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 16' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 22' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 22' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 77' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 77' goal
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Toronto
  • Facundo Torres 9' goal
  • Ercan Kara 22' goal
  • Lukas MacNaughton 47' goal
  • Tesho Akindele 84' goal
Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 14, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Orlando City
  • Michael Bradley 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 71'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 72'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 88'
  • goal Kyle Smith 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
Toronto
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Orlando City
  • Jozy Altidore 72' goal
  • Jozy Altidore 72' goal
  • Alexander Bono 76' yellowcard
  • Michael Bradley 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 68'
  • goal Nani 77'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 79'

Form Data

Atlanta 2 - 1 Toronto
NY Red Bulls 3 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 1 - 2 Nashville
Toronto 1 - 4 Chicago Fire
DC United 2 - 2 Toronto
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Toronto
NY City 4 - 2 Orlando City
Orlando City 4 - 2 Chicago Fire
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Orlando City
Orlando City 1 - 3 Los Angeles
NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 Orlando City
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Orlando City