Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2024 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 2
Orlando City

Etienne (5', 5')
Petretta (63'), Petretta (63'), Flores (71'), Flores (71'), O'Neill (75'), O'Neill (75'), Insigne (90+5'), Insigne (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Ojeda (27', 27'), Gomis (45' og., 45' og.)
Cartagena (75'), Cartagena (75'), Gallese (80'), Gallese (80'), Enrique (88'), Enrique (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 4-2 Orlando City
Saturday, June 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Orlando City
42.72% ( 0.92)	24.39% ( -0.02)	32.89% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 59.13% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.47% (

-0.16)

43.53% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.08% (

-0.16)

65.92% (

0.15)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

0.35)

20.51% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47% (

0.56)

53% (

-0.56)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39% (

-0.61)

25.61% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.51% (

-0.84)

60.49% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Toronto 42.72%

Orlando City 32.89%

Draw 24.38%

Toronto	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 42.72%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.89%