Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 47.81% ( | 24.42% ( | 27.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( | 46.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( | 68.48% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( | 19.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.78% ( | 51.22% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( | 30.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( | 66.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.81% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.77% |