Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.