Club Leon
Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 22, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Leon

Club Leon
1 - 1
Necaxa

Cadiz (63' pen., 63' pen.)
Barreiro (31'), Barreiro (31'), Reyes Chavez (69'), Reyes Chavez (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Arce (35', 35')
Fentanes (32'), Fentanes (32'), Montes (90+4'), Montes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Necaxa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Monterrey
Thursday, July 18 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Club LeonDrawNecaxa
59.75% (0.105 0.1)21.55% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)18.7% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)43.33% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (0.029000000000011 0.03)14.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (0.052 0.05)41.74% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)36.9% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)73.69% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 59.75%
    Necaxa 18.7%
    Draw 21.55%
Club LeonDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.55%
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Club Leon vs Necaxa

Club Leon
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Necaxa
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 2am
Gameweek 13
Necaxa
1-2
Club Leon
Garnica (64')
Monreal (90+1')
Cervantes (61'), Vinas (89')
Tesillo (34')
Sep 3, 2023 12am
Gameweek 7
Club Leon
1-1
Necaxa
Madrid (74' og.)
Cortez (9')
Jan 17, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 2
Club Leon
2-1
Necaxa
Sep 3, 2022 1am
Gameweek 12
Necaxa
3-2
Club Leon
Gimenez (34'), Batista (45'), Cota (45+3' og.)
Davila (90', 90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 1am
Gameweek 7
Necaxa
0-1
Club Leon
Jurado (51'), Pena (72'), Medina (90+3'), Malagon (90+7'), Escoboza (90+7')
Barreiro (71'), Davila (89'), Rodriguez (90+7')