Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.