Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 62.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.