Major League Soccer

Jul 7, 2024 at 3.30am UK

CenturyLink Field

Seattle
2 - 0
New England

Morris (15', 15'), Rusnak (81', 81')
Atencio (90+4'), Morris (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arreaga (23'), Arreaga (23'), Polster (89'), Polster (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 4 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	New England Revolution
59.79% ( 0.19)	20.65% ( -0.05)	19.56% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 58.95% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.2% (

0.03)

37.8% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.96% (

0.03)

60.05% (

-0.03)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67% (

0.06)

12.33% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.86% (

0.13)

38.14% (

-0.13)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25% (

-0.12)

32.76% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

-0.14)

69.31% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 59.79%

New England Revolution 19.56%

Draw 20.65%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 59.79%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.65%	1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.56%