Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 37.01% ( | 24.7% ( | 38.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% | 44.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( | 23.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( | 57.71% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( | 22.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( | 56.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-1 @ 4% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.28% |