Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.